MysteriousJ
No.1 Skullgirls player in Idaho
Remind them that they'll get a refund if it doesn't.
Remind them that they'll get a refund if it doesn't.
Bloodstained RAISED $5m! And the game costs $5m. I really freakin' hate campaigns like that making real budgets seem big.
I didn't discard it as irrelevant. I am also not talking to the person involved.
The horror...Bloodstained RAISED $5m! And the game costs $5m. I really freakin' hate campaigns like that making real budgets seem big.
And um, if they don't contribute it won't reach the goal, so that's self-fulfilling innit?
There are hella stories like this
http://kotaku.com/successful-73-000-kickstarter-runs-out-of-money-1735005793
and then when we try to do the real thing, NO DICE?
You didn't, but we know all that.
Bloodstained RAISED $5m! And the game costs $5m. I really freakin' hate campaigns like that making real budgets seem big.
And um, if they don't contribute it won't reach the goal, so that's self-fulfilling innit?
There are hella stories like this
http://kotaku.com/successful-73-000-kickstarter-runs-out-of-money-1735005793
and then when we try to do the real thing, NO DICE?
When I saw that chart I thought something like this happened but never remembered to ask. Damn, that sucks.
As there is a lot of discussion on this thread already it is to prevent things from becoming even more cluttered, sorry.
Oh, someone did? I didn't get an alert for this, I will go take care of that.
Maaan, I hope you guys can keep today's Animation Stream from getting too spotty. We're probably going to be seeing some new faces, and you can bet the Grumps attract a LOT of aspiring animators. Show 'em something they like, and they'll bring some friends to the next stream for sure.
Interesting - I guess I could probably stop my python script that's scraping the IGG page for stats. With that said, insert the usual disclaimers that the estimates that these sites give are notoriously unreliable, and that consistently meeting their 'average' isn't necessary to succeed, etc.I'm interested in how this will look at the end of the day.
http://crowdcharts.com/campaign/indivisible-an-rpg-by-lab-zero-and-505-games/daily
I was assuming the information on what went in every day was accurate since that can actually be counted, I find it hard to believe anyone would think the prediction system was even close to reality though since the day to day data is very inconsistent. I don't even know why it's there at all, honestly.
It's there because the people who believe you can predict...anything at all, ever...will believe it.
If nobody else has done it by the time I get to the office, I'll do it. :^P
It went from $2m to $170k within 4 minutes of each other, because the campaign passed the 48 hour mark. It certainly does SOME math behind the scenes, just not...good...math?I remember Peter saying that it showed a prediction of around 2 mil a couple of days into the campaign, so I don't think it really takes into consideration the usual pattern of a mid-campaign dip and a final day surge that is common with crowdfunding. It seems instead to just extrapolate the curve based off the last few recent days. It will probably only show a worthwhile prediction on the final few days of any given campaign imo.
The order's already decided.
I assumed it just calculated the daily average and then applied that to the number of days, I've got nothing to back that up though, just seems like the most obvious formula for "this is what the future looks like".